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2024-12-14 12:29:12

Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.Weixing Co., Ltd.: Compared with the first half of the year, the growth rate of acquiring orders in the second half of the year gradually declined, but the overall growth rate still maintained. Weixing Co., Ltd. recently said in a conference call that due to the influence of the terminal consumption boom, downstream brand customers were cautious in placing orders, and the growth rate of acquiring orders in the second half of the year gradually declined compared with the first half of the year, but the overall growth rate still maintained. In recent years, the company has mainly focused on promoting globalization strategy, intelligent manufacturing strategy and improving manufacturing level, technical level and product quality, and achieved certain results.The yield of China's 30-year national debt "24 Special National Debt 06" fell below 2%, hitting a new low.


The Public Offering of Fund sales qualification of Goldman Sachs (China) Securities was approved, and the Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau approved the sales qualification of Goldman Sachs (China) Securities Co., Ltd. to publicly raise securities investment funds. According to the reply, the sales license of Goldman Sachs (China) Securities Public Offering Securities Investment Fund is valid for 3 years from the date of first issuance. Goldman Sachs (China) Securities shall, in accordance with the requirements of the Securities Investment Fund Law, the Measures for the Supervision and Administration of Sales Organizations of Public Offering Securities Investment Funds and other relevant laws and regulations, complete the preparatory work for opening within 6 months.Defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and Li Tie's defender was interviewed by CCTV reporters outside the court. Regarding the first-instance judgment that Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years, the defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and he would negotiate with Li Tie again. Regarding the state of Li Tie's trial today, the defender's answer is: calm, peaceful and stable. (Tiantian Sports)Ministry of Finance of Thailand: It is estimated that the global minimum corporate tax of 15% will be implemented from January 2025.


Defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and Li Tie's defender was interviewed by CCTV reporters outside the court. Regarding the first-instance judgment that Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years, the defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and he would negotiate with Li Tie again. Regarding the state of Li Tie's trial today, the defender's answer is: calm, peaceful and stable. (Tiantian Sports)China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 394.6 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 596.3 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 11.1 billion yuan.

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